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Analysis from our writers and outside experts. 142 articles, 65 of them free to read.
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Eastern Europe’s Unique Opportunity for Foreign Influence
As China's influence expands across the Global South, Eastern Europe has a unique opportunity to leverage the EU's new development cooperation strategy to counter it.Henrik Hannes Herkel · 19 Jan · 14 min read
The Fall of the Iranian Regime would be a disaster for Russia
As Iran teeters on the brink of revolution, the collapse of the regime would strip Russia of a key strategic partner at the worst possible time.Oli Carpenter · 15 Jan · 8 min read
Freezing the War, Not Ending It. Why Trump’s Russo-Ukraine Peace Deal Will Break Down
Trump's proposed Russia-Ukraine peace deal may secure signatures, but with both sides still fighting, the real question is whether it ends the war or merely freezes it.Yelyzaveta Khomovska · 12 Jan · 15 min read
Venezuela, Greenland, and the Rules-Based Order’s Autopsy
The US raid to capture Venezuela's President Maduro has exposed the fragility of the rules-based international order, splitting the global response along predictable geopolitical lines.Kyle Moran · 8 Jan · 11 min read
Trump’s Maduro Raid Isn’t Just About Oil – It’s About China (Opinion)
The US Delta Force raid that captured Venezuelan dictator Nicolas Maduro was about far more than drugs or oil. The real target was China's growing influence in the Western Hemisphere.Oli Carpenter · 5 Jan · 9 min read
2026: Somalia’s Greatest Test.
2026 will be a pivotal year for Somalia, with a contentious presidential election, Somaliland's recognition, regional autonomy disputes, and al-Shabaab's advance all coming to a head.Evan Moloney · 29 Dec 2025 · 18 min read
Mapping the UAE’s Non-State Proxy Network.
In today's multipolar world, no nation has leveraged non-state proxies quite like the UAE, building a network of allied fighting forces across the Middle East and North Africa to secure its interests.Evan Moloney · 22 Dec 2025 · 19 min read
The Autonomy Mirage: Why the French Defense Model won’t work for Europe
Macron's vision of European strategic autonomy has gained traction since the Ukraine war. But the French defense model may not work for a continent that lacks France's unique advantages.Leo Feypel · 18 Dec 2025 · 14 min read
The New Rush for Africa: Can the EU Challenge China's Growing Influence?
The Global South is the site of an intense economic competition for influence, and the EU is scrambling to challenge China's growing dominance across Africa.Henrik Hannes Herkel · 15 Dec 2025 · 13 min read
Uganda’s Elections are a Critical Flashpoint. Here’s What to Know.
On January 15, 2026, Uganda will hold a nationwide general election pitting long-time dictator Yoweri Museveni against opposition leader Bobi Wine, with fears of violent repression looming large.Evan Moloney · 11 Dec 2025 · 16 min read
Tokyo's Bold Taiwan Bet
A stunning declaration by Japan's Prime Minister that an attack on Taiwan would be treated as an attack on Japan has sparked an international crisis and reshaped the Indo-Pacific security landscape.Wilfred Waimiri · 8 Dec 2025 · 10 min read
Europe Needs Urgent Reform to Survive. Here's How.
The European Union's default reaction to crisis has always been lethargy. But with the US stepping back and Russia and China growing bolder, that complacency is no longer sustainable.Henrik Hannes Herkel · 4 Dec 2025 · 10 min readShow 12 more
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