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Analysis from our writers and outside experts. 142 articles, 65 of them free to read.
77 articles

The Berlin Attack is Part of a Broader Pattern. Europe Needs to Wake Up to The Growing Threat
Paweł Wójcik · 7 Aug · 9 min read
The World's Top Sudan Expert Sees No End in Sight to the War
Alex de Waal traces Sudan's collapse to the broken promises of South Sudan's secession — and warns that profit-seeking patrons and glory-hungry peacemakers have made real diplomacy impossible.Wilfred Waimiri · 3 Aug · 61 min read
Gen-Z Revolutions are Sweeping the World. How Should the West Deal With Them?
From Nepal to Serbia, youth-led uprisings keep toppling governments without securing lasting change — and the West's Arab Spring record shows how easily outside help can make things worse.Henrik Hannes Herkel · 30 Jul · 13 min read
The Other Oil War: Inside the Cartels’ Multi-Billion Dollar Fuel Industry
Fuel theft has become the cartels' second-biggest business — draining billions from Mexico's treasury, seeping into US supply chains, and outpacing every crackdown Washington and Mexico City can mount.William B. Lipscomb · 25 Jul · 12 min read
One Patron, Two Armies: Why Russia’s Africa Corps Is Losing Ground Where Wagner Held the Line
In the Central African Republic, Wagner repelled a rebel raid within days; in Mali, Africa Corps surrendered the north — proof that nationalizing Prigozhin's empire gutted what made it work.Casus Belli · 24 Jul · 11 min read
Cyberspace is the New Frontline
From the FBI director's inbox to Jordan's wheat reserves, Iran's proxy hackers show how states now wage war cheaply, deniably, and with fear as the real payload.Fronts Staff · 16 Jul · 10 min read
Ukraine's Long-Range Strikes are Hurting Russia. Now it Needs a Plan to Retake Territory
Strikes on refineries impose costs, but Russia will adapt. The case for a "drone blitz": massing drones and ground robots on a narrow front to rupture Russian defences and restore manoeuvre.Illya Sekirin · 11 Jul · 9 min read
Europe's Nuclear Energy Revival Comes with Hidden Vulnerabilities
From Kazakh mines in the Kremlin's orbit to Soviet-era reactors locked into Russian fuel, Europe's €241 billion nuclear bet runs through Moscow — and neither SMRs nor Washington offer a way out.Leo Feypel · 4 Jul · 15 min read
NATO Needs to Dronify or Die
A veteran drone operator advising Ukraine's high command argues that drones have made battlefields transparent and massed forces suicidal — and that NATO's token spending leaves it years behind Russia.Illya Sekirin · 1 Jul · 9 min read
Europe's Biofuel Push is Expensive. It Also Makes Strategic Sense
The F-35 now flies on fuel made from cooking oil and crop waste — and for a continent importing 97% of its crude through vulnerable chokepoints, that is an insurance policy, not a climate gesture.Tiago Machado · 27 Jun · 14 min read
Is the United Kingdom Becoming Ungovernable?
Seven prime ministers in a decade is not proof the country cannot be governed — it is proof the route to power now filters out anyone capable of the state-building Britain actually needs.Oli Carpenter · 24 Jun · 9 min read
Colombia’s Election Is a Second Plebiscite on Peace
Ten years after the FARC accord, armed groups hold 37% of Colombia — and a runoff between a Bukele-style hardliner and the deal's own "plumber" will decide whether the state fights or negotiates.Rafael Vargas Castellar · 19 Jun · 14 min readShow 12 more
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