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Analysis from our writers and outside experts. 142 articles, 65 of them free to read.
65 articles

Is Russia Running Out of Trucks?
Ukraine’s recent middle strike drone campaign has been decimating the Russian military truck fleet and preventing them from delivering supplies to their frontline units.Jompy · 10 Aug · 14 min read
The US Has One Last Option in Iran (Opinion)
Kyle Moran · 5 Aug · 16 min read
Myanmar’s Resistance is Fracturing. Here’s What that Means
Under pressure from advancing junta troops and a growing Chinese role in the conflict, Myanmar’s many resistance groups have been increasingly at odds with each other, sparking fears the united front against the coup is starting to crumble.Thomas van Linge · 27 Jul · 14 min read
Living off Cold War Leftovers: How the Ukraine War Will Devastate Militaries Worldwide
Since the end of the Cold War and the collapse of the Soviet Union, many countries have opted to buy cheap Soviet-era legacy surplus hardware from its successor states. But the Ukraine War means those stockpiles are finally drying up. Jompy · 20 Jul · 17 min read
Understanding Ukraine's Isolation Campaign in Crimea.
Mass-produced strike drones now let Ukraine hit Crimea's bridges, rail lines, substations and shipping day after day — turning Russia's southern logistics hub into a supply-starved liability.Phil Cowin · 18 Jul · 15 min read
What Will Russia's Military Look Like After the Ukraine War?
Staggering losses will force Moscow into hard tradeoffs — cutting its navy and air force, betting big on drones — but the force that emerges could be more dangerous than the one that invaded in 2022.Jakub Janovsky · 13 Jul · 15 min read
Mali Proves It. Russia's Africa Strategy is Collapsing.
Coordinated rebel attacks across Mali are exposing the limits of Russia's security strategy and the fragility of Bamako's northern campaign.Paweł Wójcik · 8 Jul · 12 min read
Drones are Transforming the Sahel Conflict. Here's How
From Ukraine-trained Tuareg rebels to jihadists flying captured quadcopters, the Sahel's insurgents are outpacing the juntas — and the decisive weapon so far is the camera overhead, not the bomb.Brant Philip · 6 Jul · 10 min read
Exaggerating its Advances is Costing the Russian Army Dearly. Here's How.
When Gerasimov told Putin that Kupiansk had fallen, every Russian decision afterward treated the fiction as fact — and Ukraine now quietly exploits an army that punishes honest reporting.Phil Cowin · 29 Jun · 13 min read
To Mobilize or Not to Mobilize: Will Russia See A New Wave of Military Mobilization in 2026?
Sign-up bonuses topping $41,500 can no longer fill Russia's ranks, and Ukraine's drone campaign is bleeding men, fuel, and trucks — leaving Putin one option he has dodged since 2022.Jompy · 22 Jun · 17 min read
The Egypt-Ethiopia Cold War is Key to the Horn’s Growing Conflicts
Locked in a struggle over the Nile and Red Sea, Cairo is ringing Ethiopia with allies while Addis arms proxies in Sudan — a contest that threatens to fuse the Horn's separate wars into one.Liam Karr · 15 Jun · 12 min read
Deconstructing the Myth That Russia is Running Out of Armour
Russia's Soviet-era legacy heavy equipment reserves have been prematurely declared depleted many times since the 2022 invasion of Ukraine started...Jompy · 8 Jun · 18 min readShow 12 more
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